AIR83 – Boeing: ordinary opinions for extraordinary times

No, Dennis Muilenburg does not need to go for his role in the MAX crisis, it would be an oversimplification. The question that can be legitimately asked however is if he is the best person to lead the Boeing company out of that crisis. As a CEO, his performance has been impressive, and he has led the company to new financial and transformational heights.

However, the perception has changed considerably and what needs to be done at Boeing next perhaps necessitates a new approach. It is up to the Boeing board to decide on the appropriate course in that regard. The changes presented, in particular with the new Aerospace Safety Committee and the Product and Services Safety organization, should be enough to…

Cogitatio17- FCAS turf battles

The Future Combat Air System (FCAS) is experiencing some turbulences – as one might expect. On one side, France, represented by Dassault, SAFRAN and Thales, the key partners in the Mirage and Rafale families and on the other side Germany, mostly represented by Airbus and MTU. Since its unveiling at the Paris Airshow, FCAS has been delayed by the politics of European Defense, and the latest move by Spain, with the selection of Indra as the lead for the Spanish industry is perhaps not desirable for the program at this early juncture.

AIR81: Mutually Assured Retaliation

We have certainly not been shy with the number of AIR notes (1,2,3,4) addressing the multiple trade disputes over the past three years.  The news that the WTO has reached a decision on granting the United States the right to impose between $6 to $9 Billion in tariffs on a wide range of EU exports worth $25  Billion,  is adding to our tally of trade related analysis. The end is…

AIR79 – 737MAX Storage and Outlook

737MAXes uninterrupted production means that those aircraft are currently still being ferried and stored at a rate of 40-42 per month.  This situation will continue until the regulators and customers are satisfied with the solutions and fixes proposed by Boeing.  At this stage, we maintain our Q1 2020 target for return to service with operators.

Two questions are at the forefront of our production outlook analysis these days:

– Is there a discernible storage pattern that may provide some clarity…

Cogitatio13 – NMA by any other name?

It is undeniable that Boeing is facing its most serious crisis since its creation.  While we have not yet elevated the current MAX and 777X issues into the “existential” category, any grounding of the 737MAX extending into the 3rd quarter of 2020 will certainly warrant reexamination of our opinion.

While we are preparing a new note on the issue of China and Boeing, we felt it appropriate to interject on the issue of NMA.  While we have remained generally positive about the design and potential time to market, the MAX crisis has uncovered visible cracks in the timeline…

AIR78 – 737 Crisis Will Accelerate The Boeing Enterprise Transformation

The 737 MAX crisis provides an opportunity to reflect on many issues beyond the aircraft’s difficulties and shortcomings. While we have voiced our concerns about the multiple opinion pieces that have populated the media sphere and the obvious campaigns orchestrated by selected groups to discredit Boeing senior management, there are nevertheless some valid elements worthy of examination.

This research note will be divided in three major sections; the first one will examine multiple scenarios for MAX return to flight. The second one will assess the 737 crisis and its impact on Boeing’s enterprise commercial strategy. Finally…

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